Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.072698 0.085159 0.099066 0.115731 0.135155 0.157079 0.183707
2026-01-11 0.055886 0.071881 0.091411 0.116992 0.149611 0.189813 0.243142
2026-01-18 0.043594 0.060930 0.083854 0.116347 0.161200 0.220933 0.306574
2026-01-25 0.033623 0.050697 0.074976 0.111951 0.166804 0.245167 0.365697
2026-02-01 0.026136 0.042256 0.066761 0.106622 0.169787 0.265998 0.423783
2026-02-08 0.021229 0.036602 0.061455 0.104408 0.176718 0.293523 0.496663
2026-02-15 0.017330 0.031724 0.056361 0.101405 0.181612 0.318407 0.569575
2026-02-22 0.014886 0.028809 0.053937 0.102338 0.193115 0.355908 0.670163
2026-03-01 0.012697 0.025894 0.050931 0.101579 0.201315 0.388789 0.768063
2026-03-08 0.010600 0.022723 0.046834 0.097933 0.203309 0.410395 0.848330
2026-03-15 0.009187 0.020640 0.044461 0.097203 0.210793 0.443545 0.956663
2026-03-22 0.008345 0.019599 0.044009 0.100333 0.226689 0.495961 1.113221
2026-03-29 0.007570 0.018628 0.043697 0.104100 0.245536 0.559589 1.309531
2026-04-05 0.006784 0.017473 0.042778 0.106389 0.261694 0.620654 1.512665
2026-04-12 0.005976 0.016096 0.041085 0.106556 0.273049 0.673177 1.706777
2026-04-19 0.005094 0.014335 0.038118 0.103003 0.274720 0.703445 1.853627
2026-04-26 0.004304 0.012643 0.034985 0.098392 0.272828 0.724769 1.982588
2026-05-03 0.003754 0.011489 0.033034 0.096538 0.277857 0.764598 2.167752
2026-05-10 0.003255 0.010370 0.030948 0.093880 0.280183 0.797836 2.341918
2026-05-17 0.002946 0.009753 0.030165 0.094825 0.292958 0.861860 2.614890
2026-05-24 0.002628 0.009033 0.028931 0.094173 0.300949 0.914024 2.864106
2026-05-31 0.002279 0.008132 0.026958 0.090822 0.300078 0.940428 3.041941
2026-06-07 0.002043 0.007555 0.025893 0.090166 0.307600 0.993465 3.312853